func ExampleCholeskySymRankOne() {
	a := mat64.NewSymDense(4, []float64{
		1, 1, 1, 1,
		0, 2, 3, 4,
		0, 0, 6, 10,
		0, 0, 0, 20,
	})
	fmt.Printf("A = %0.4v\n", mat64.Formatted(a, mat64.Prefix("    ")))

	// Compute the Cholesky factorization.
	var chol mat64.Cholesky
	if ok := chol.Factorize(a); !ok {
		fmt.Println("matrix a is not positive definite.")
	}

	x := mat64.NewVector(4, []float64{0, 0, 0, 1})
	fmt.Printf("\nx = %0.4v\n", mat64.Formatted(x, mat64.Prefix("    ")))

	// Rank-1 update the factorization.
	chol.SymRankOne(&chol, 1, x)
	// Rank-1 update the matrix a.
	a.SymRankOne(a, 1, x)

	var au mat64.SymDense
	au.FromCholesky(&chol)

	// Print the matrix that was updated directly.
	fmt.Printf("\nA' =        %0.4v\n", mat64.Formatted(a, mat64.Prefix("            ")))
	// Print the matrix recovered from the factorization.
	fmt.Printf("\nU'^T * U' = %0.4v\n", mat64.Formatted(&au, mat64.Prefix("            ")))

	// Output:
	// A = ⎡ 1   1   1   1⎤
	//     ⎢ 1   2   3   4⎥
	//     ⎢ 1   3   6  10⎥
	//     ⎣ 1   4  10  20⎦
	//
	// x = ⎡0⎤
	//     ⎢0⎥
	//     ⎢0⎥
	//     ⎣1⎦
	//
	// A' =        ⎡ 1   1   1   1⎤
	//             ⎢ 1   2   3   4⎥
	//             ⎢ 1   3   6  10⎥
	//             ⎣ 1   4  10  21⎦
	//
	// U'^T * U' = ⎡ 1   1   1   1⎤
	//             ⎢ 1   2   3   4⎥
	//             ⎢ 1   3   6  10⎥
	//             ⎣ 1   4  10  21⎦
}
Beispiel #2
0
func TestConditionNormal(t *testing.T) {
	// Uncorrelated values shouldn't influence the updated values.
	for _, test := range []struct {
		mu       []float64
		sigma    *mat64.SymDense
		observed []int
		values   []float64

		newMu    []float64
		newSigma *mat64.SymDense
	}{
		{
			mu:       []float64{2, 3},
			sigma:    mat64.NewSymDense(2, []float64{2, 0, 0, 5}),
			observed: []int{0},
			values:   []float64{10},

			newMu:    []float64{3},
			newSigma: mat64.NewSymDense(1, []float64{5}),
		},
		{
			mu:       []float64{2, 3},
			sigma:    mat64.NewSymDense(2, []float64{2, 0, 0, 5}),
			observed: []int{1},
			values:   []float64{10},

			newMu:    []float64{2},
			newSigma: mat64.NewSymDense(1, []float64{2}),
		},
		{
			mu:       []float64{2, 3, 4},
			sigma:    mat64.NewSymDense(3, []float64{2, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0, 0, 0, 10}),
			observed: []int{1},
			values:   []float64{10},

			newMu:    []float64{2, 4},
			newSigma: mat64.NewSymDense(2, []float64{2, 0, 0, 10}),
		},
		{
			mu:       []float64{2, 3, 4},
			sigma:    mat64.NewSymDense(3, []float64{2, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0, 0, 0, 10}),
			observed: []int{0, 1},
			values:   []float64{10, 15},

			newMu:    []float64{4},
			newSigma: mat64.NewSymDense(1, []float64{10}),
		},
		{
			mu:       []float64{2, 3, 4, 5},
			sigma:    mat64.NewSymDense(4, []float64{2, 0.5, 0, 0, 0.5, 5, 0, 0, 0, 0, 10, 2, 0, 0, 2, 3}),
			observed: []int{0, 1},
			values:   []float64{10, 15},

			newMu:    []float64{4, 5},
			newSigma: mat64.NewSymDense(2, []float64{10, 2, 2, 3}),
		},
	} {
		normal, ok := NewNormal(test.mu, test.sigma, nil)
		if !ok {
			t.Fatalf("Bad test, original sigma not positive definite")
		}
		newNormal, ok := normal.ConditionNormal(test.observed, test.values, nil)
		if !ok {
			t.Fatalf("Bad test, update failure")
		}

		if !floats.EqualApprox(test.newMu, newNormal.mu, 1e-12) {
			t.Errorf("Updated mean mismatch. Want %v, got %v.", test.newMu, newNormal.mu)
		}

		var sigma mat64.SymDense
		sigma.FromCholesky(&newNormal.chol)
		if !mat64.EqualApprox(test.newSigma, &sigma, 1e-12) {
			t.Errorf("Updated sigma mismatch\n.Want:\n% v\nGot:\n% v\n", test.newSigma, sigma)
		}
	}

	// Test bivariate case where the update rule is analytic
	for _, test := range []struct {
		mu    []float64
		std   []float64
		rho   float64
		value float64
	}{
		{
			mu:    []float64{2, 3},
			std:   []float64{3, 5},
			rho:   0.9,
			value: 1000,
		},
		{
			mu:    []float64{2, 3},
			std:   []float64{3, 5},
			rho:   -0.9,
			value: 1000,
		},
	} {
		std := test.std
		rho := test.rho
		sigma := mat64.NewSymDense(2, []float64{std[0] * std[0], std[0] * std[1] * rho, std[0] * std[1] * rho, std[1] * std[1]})
		normal, ok := NewNormal(test.mu, sigma, nil)
		if !ok {
			t.Fatalf("Bad test, original sigma not positive definite")
		}
		newNormal, ok := normal.ConditionNormal([]int{1}, []float64{test.value}, nil)
		if !ok {
			t.Fatalf("Bad test, update failed")
		}
		var newSigma mat64.SymDense
		newSigma.FromCholesky(&newNormal.chol)
		trueMean := test.mu[0] + rho*(std[0]/std[1])*(test.value-test.mu[1])
		if math.Abs(trueMean-newNormal.mu[0]) > 1e-14 {
			t.Errorf("Mean mismatch. Want %v, got %v", trueMean, newNormal.mu[0])
		}
		trueVar := (1 - rho*rho) * std[0] * std[0]
		if math.Abs(trueVar-newSigma.At(0, 0)) > 1e-14 {
			t.Errorf("Std mismatch. Want %v, got %v", trueMean, newNormal.mu[0])
		}
	}

	// Test via sampling.
	for _, test := range []struct {
		mu         []float64
		sigma      *mat64.SymDense
		observed   []int
		unobserved []int
		value      []float64
	}{
		// The indices in unobserved must be in ascending order for this test.
		{
			mu:    []float64{2, 3, 4},
			sigma: mat64.NewSymDense(3, []float64{2, 0.5, 3, 0.5, 1, 0.6, 3, 0.6, 10}),

			observed:   []int{0},
			unobserved: []int{1, 2},
			value:      []float64{1.9},
		},
		{
			mu:    []float64{2, 3, 4, 5},
			sigma: mat64.NewSymDense(4, []float64{2, 0.5, 3, 0.1, 0.5, 1, 0.6, 0.2, 3, 0.6, 10, 0.3, 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 3}),

			observed:   []int{0, 3},
			unobserved: []int{1, 2},
			value:      []float64{1.9, 2.9},
		},
	} {
		totalSamp := 4000000
		var nSamp int
		samples := mat64.NewDense(totalSamp, len(test.mu), nil)
		normal, ok := NewNormal(test.mu, test.sigma, nil)
		if !ok {
			t.Errorf("bad test")
		}
		sample := make([]float64, len(test.mu))
		for i := 0; i < totalSamp; i++ {
			normal.Rand(sample)
			isClose := true
			for i, v := range test.observed {
				if math.Abs(sample[v]-test.value[i]) > 1e-1 {
					isClose = false
					break
				}
			}
			if isClose {
				samples.SetRow(nSamp, sample)
				nSamp++
			}
		}

		if nSamp < 100 {
			t.Errorf("bad test, not enough samples")
			continue
		}
		samples = samples.View(0, 0, nSamp, len(test.mu)).(*mat64.Dense)

		// Compute mean and covariance matrix.
		estMean := make([]float64, len(test.mu))
		for i := range estMean {
			estMean[i] = stat.Mean(mat64.Col(nil, i, samples), nil)
		}
		estCov := stat.CovarianceMatrix(nil, samples, nil)

		// Compute update rule.
		newNormal, ok := normal.ConditionNormal(test.observed, test.value, nil)
		if !ok {
			t.Fatalf("Bad test, update failure")
		}

		var subEstMean []float64
		for _, v := range test.unobserved {

			subEstMean = append(subEstMean, estMean[v])
		}
		subEstCov := mat64.NewSymDense(len(test.unobserved), nil)
		for i := 0; i < len(test.unobserved); i++ {
			for j := i; j < len(test.unobserved); j++ {
				subEstCov.SetSym(i, j, estCov.At(test.unobserved[i], test.unobserved[j]))
			}
		}

		for i, v := range subEstMean {
			if math.Abs(newNormal.mu[i]-v) > 5e-2 {
				t.Errorf("Mean mismatch. Want %v, got %v.", newNormal.mu[i], v)
			}
		}
		var sigma mat64.SymDense
		sigma.FromCholesky(&newNormal.chol)
		if !mat64.EqualApprox(&sigma, subEstCov, 1e-1) {
			t.Errorf("Covariance mismatch. Want:\n%0.8v\nGot:\n%0.8v\n", subEstCov, sigma)
		}
	}
}